Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.231960 0.266906 0.304470 0.347748 0.396126 0.448432 0.509152
2026-02-08 0.174630 0.221430 0.275823 0.343275 0.424203 0.517685 0.633309
2026-02-15 0.132929 0.185136 0.250495 0.337269 0.448255 0.584169 0.761746
2026-02-22 0.106759 0.162491 0.237271 0.342908 0.485928 0.670209 0.922529
2026-03-01 0.083907 0.139453 0.219193 0.338713 0.509360 0.739734 1.068785
2026-03-08 0.067744 0.122492 0.206270 0.338909 0.537631 0.817293 1.231848
2026-03-15 0.053969 0.106161 0.191206 0.333154 0.555754 0.881395 1.380882
2026-03-22 0.046757 0.099088 0.189166 0.346468 0.602810 0.990079 1.600990
2026-03-29 0.040780 0.092859 0.187303 0.359361 0.649868 1.101818 1.833032
2026-04-05 0.034358 0.084307 0.179870 0.361568 0.679377 1.188285 2.032222
2026-04-12 0.028736 0.076020 0.171426 0.360563 0.702831 1.266195 2.222467
2026-04-19 0.024056 0.068598 0.163295 0.358773 0.724200 1.341532 2.412545
2026-04-26 0.020114 0.061962 0.155778 0.357416 0.746632 1.421050 2.616097
2026-05-03 0.016809 0.055986 0.148587 0.355658 0.767969 1.500014 2.823545
2026-05-10 0.013893 0.050171 0.140670 0.351253 0.783672 1.569999 3.019826
2026-05-17 0.012130 0.047055 0.138371 0.358249 0.821722 1.681662 3.293441
2026-05-24 0.010092 0.042455 0.131640 0.354630 0.838254 1.755316 3.504688
2026-05-31 0.008580 0.039011 0.127128 0.355303 0.863310 1.845897 3.750393
2026-06-07 0.007068 0.034996 0.120308 0.349610 0.874406 1.910707 3.952829
2026-06-14 0.006452 0.034039 0.121676 0.363672 0.928583 2.060661 4.317805
2026-06-21 0.005882 0.033058 0.122801 0.377233 0.982669 2.213309 4.694696
2026-06-28 0.005074 0.030782 0.119673 0.379615 1.012133 2.319132 4.988830
2026-07-05 0.004304 0.028323 0.115471 0.378620 1.033771 2.410389 5.259431